Влияние международных санкций на внутриполитические процессы в РФ 2014-2015 гг.

Авторы

  • Полина Четвертных / Polina Chetvertnykh Пермский государственный национальный исследовательский университет

Ключевые слова:

международные санкции, Россия, рейтинг одобрения, электоральный рейтинг, тренды, политическая поддержка

Аннотация

Настоящая статья посвящена выявлению влияния международных санкций в 2014–2015 гг. на динамику поддержки действующей российской власти. В статье предпринята попытка систематизации теоретических концепций, посвященных международным санкциям, с последующей разработкой собственной авторской модели и статистическим анализом трендов динамики политической поддержки режима. Полученные результаты говорят о значимости важных в национальном масштабе событий и некоторых экономических показателей, стимулирующих рост рейтингов власти даже в условиях ухудшающейся экономической обстановкиDOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.17072/2218-1067-2015-4-175-191

Биография автора

Полина Четвертных / Polina Chetvertnykh, Пермский государственный национальный исследовательский университет

Выпускница историко-политологического факультета

Библиографические ссылки

Actions of "FEMEN" and "PUSSY RIOT" // Levada-center. Available at: http://www.levada.ru/22-03-2012/aktsii-grupp-femen-i-pussy-riot. (In Rus.).

Boris Nemtsov // Levada-center. Available at: http://www.levada.ru/18-032015/boris-nemtsov. (In Rus.).

Possible results of presidential and parliamentary elections // Levada-center. Available at: http://www.levada.ru/14-05-2014/vozmozhnye-rezultatyprezidentskikh-i-parlamentskikh-vyborov. (In Rus.).

Everything has collapsed, except the presidential rating // BBC Russian. Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/russian/russia/2015/01/150105_levada_volkov_putin_15_ye ars?ocid=wsrus_rus_psc_facebook_mkt_fe_news_na. (In Rus.).

Wages // The Joint Economic and Social Data Archive of Higher School of Economics. Available at: http://sophist.hse.ru/exes/tables/WAG_M.htm. (In Rus.).

Demand for workers // The Joint Economic and Social Data Archive of Higher School of Economics. Available at: http://sophist.hse.ru/ exes/tables/EMPLDEC_M.htm. (In Rus.).

Indices // Levada-center. Available at: http://www.levada.ru/indeksy. (In Rus.).

Number of the unemployed // The Joint Economic and Social Data Archive of Higher School of Economics. [Electronic resource]. URL: http://sophist.hse.ru/exes/tables/UNEMPL_M.htm. (In Rus.).

Punishment of Pussy Riot is demanded by those who support Putin – N. Zorkaya // Levada-center. Available at: http://www.levada.ru/08-08-2012/nakazaniyapussy-riot-trebuyut-te-kto-podderzhivaet-putina-nzorkaya. (In Rus.).

Putin’s Address to the Federal Assembly concerning annexation of Crimea // Public Opinion Foundation. Available at: http://fom.ru/Politika/11420. (In Rus.).

Arrears of wages // Federal State Statistics Service. Federal State Statistics Service: http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/ publications/catalog/doc_1237983568234. (In Rus.).

Putin’s approval rating: anomaly or regularity? // Levada-center. Available at: http://www.levada.ru/15-01-2015/reiting-putina-anomaliya-ili-zakonomernost. (In Rus.).

Inflation table // Level of inflation in the Russian Federation. Available at: http:// Level of inflation.rf. (In Rus.).

Aydin A. Choosing sides: Economic interdependence and interstate disputes // Journal of Politics. 2008. Vol. 70. №4. P. 1098–1107. (In English).

Chan S. Economic Sanctions: The US Debate on MFN Status for China // Sanctions as Economic Statecraft: Theory and Practice. 2000. P. 110–130. (In English).

Chan S. Mirror, Mirror on the Wall… Are the Freer Countries More Pacific? // Journal of Conflict Resolution. 1989. Vol. 28. №4. P. 617–648. (In English).

Cox D.G., Drury A.C. Democratic Sanctions: Connecting the Democratic Peace and Economic Sanctions // Journal of Peace Research. 2006. Vol. 43. №6. P.709– 722. (In English).

Drezner D.W. Conflict expectations and the paradox of economic coercion // International Studies Quarterly. 1998. Vol. 45. №4. P. 709–731. (In English).

Galtung J. On the Effects of International Economic Sanctions with Examples from the Case of Rodhesia // World Politics. 1967. Vol. 19. №3. P. 378–416. (In English).

Hetherington M.J., Nelson M. Anatomy of a Rally Effect: George W. Bush and the War on Terrorism // Political Science and Politics. 2003. Vol. 36. №1. P.37– 42. (In English).

Hoffman F. The Functions of Economic Sanctions: A Comparative Analysis // Journal of Peace Research. 1967. Vol. 4. №2. P. 140–160. (In English).

Hufbauer G.C., Schott J., Elliot K.A. Economic Sanctions Reconsidered. Washington, 1990. (In English).

Huth P., Russett B. What Makes Deterrence Work? Cases from 1900 to 1980 // World Politics. 1984. Vol. 36. №4. P. 496–526. (In English).

Kaempfer W.H., Lowenberg A.D. The Theory of International Economic Sanctions: A Public Choice Approach // The American Economic Review. 1988. Vol. 78. № 4. P. 786–793. (In English).

Lektzian D., Sprecher C.M. Sanctions, signals, and militarized conflict // American Journal of Political Science. 2007. Vol. 51. №2. P. 415–431. (In English).

Maoz Z., Abdolali N. Regime Type and International Conflict // Journal of Conflict Resolution. 1989. Vol. 33. №1. P. 3–35. (In English).

Marinov N. Do Economic Sanctions Destabilize Country Leaders? // American Journal of Political Science. 2005. Vol. 59. №3. P. 564–576. (In English).

Morgan T.C., Schwebach V.L. Fools Suffer Gladly: The Use of Economic Sanctions in International Crises // International Studies Quarterly. 1997. Vol. 41. P. 27–50. (In English).

Mueller J.E. Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson // The American Political Science Review. 1970. Vol. 64. №1. P.18–34. (In English).

Nye J.S. Soft power: The means to success in world politics. Cambridge: Public Affairs, 2004. (In English).

Peterson T.M., Drury A.C. Sanctioning Violence: The Effect of Third-Party Economic Coercion on Militarized Conflict // Journal of Conflict Resolution. 2011. Vol. 55. №4. P. 580–605. (In English).

Rowe D. Manipulating the Market: Understanding Economic Sanctions, Institutional Change, and the Political Unity of White Rhodesia. University of Michigan, 2001. (In English).

Schwebach V. Sanctions as signals: A line in the sand or lack of resolve? // Sanctions as economic statecraft: Theory and practice. Basingstoke: Macmillian Press Ltd, 2000. (In English).

Treisman D. Presidential Popularity in a Hybrid Regime: Russia under Yeltsin and Putin // American Journal of Political Science. 2011. Vol. 55. №3. P. 590–609. (In English).

Wagner R.H. Economic Interdependence, Bargaining Power, and Political Influence // International Organization. 1988. Vol. 42. P. 461–482. (In English).

Загрузки

Опубликован

2018-11-15

Как цитировать

Polina Chetvertnykh П. Ч. /. (2018). Влияние международных санкций на внутриполитические процессы в РФ 2014-2015 гг. Вестник Пермского университета. Политология / Bulletin of Perm University. Political Science, (4), 175–191. извлечено от http://press.psu.ru/index.php/polit/article/view/1935