THE ETHNIC SECURITY DILEMMA AS AN ANALYTICAL MODEL OF CONFLICT: THE CASE OF THE CIVIL WAR IN CROATIA (1990–1995)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17072/2218-1067-2024-1-50-60Keywords:
ethnic security; security dilemma; ethnopolitical conflict; civil war in Croatia; Serbia; Yugoslavia; Krajina SerbsAbstract
The article attempts to evaluate the heuristic potential of the ethnic security dilemma model on the basis of a comparison of different ways of examining the conflict in Croatia (1990 – 1995). The first section presents a dynamic model of the Croatian civil war, dividing it into phases, highlighting the incident of the conflict and its main turning points. The following section reviews the key points of works that study the conflict based on the ethnic security dilemma. These works are divided into two main groups: those who follow and those who criticize the ethnic security dilemma, as proposed by its creator B. Posen. Criticism of the provisions is mainly limited to challenging the key pillars of the model: anarchy as a phenomenon, the role of leadership in intergroup relations, and the role of identity in the process of conflict formation. The author identifies limitations of the ethnic security dilemma as an analytical model for ethnopolitical conflicts. These limitations include the absence of a unified model, insufficient grounds for unambiguous interpretation of conflict events, underestimation of external factors, and the possible absence of a relevant phenomenon. Identifying these limitations will help refine the ethnic security dilemma for a more objective analysis of ethnopolitical conflict.References
Гуськова, Е. Ю. (2001) История югославского кризиса (1990–2000). Москва: Русское право/Русский Национальный Фонд. [Gus’kova E.Yu. (2001) History of the Yugoslav Crisis (1990–2000) [Istorija ju-goslavskogo krizisa] Moscow: Russkoje Pravo/Russkij Naczionalnyj Fond. (In Russ.)].
Пивоваренко, А. А. (2014) Становление государственности в современной Хорватии (1990–2001 гг.): Дисс. канд. ист. наук. Москва. [Pivovarenko, A.A. (2014) Formation of statehood in modern Croatia (1990–2001) [Stanovlenije gosudarstven-nosti v sovremennoj Khorvatii]. Ph. Dr. Diss. (Hist.). Moscow. (In Russ.)].
Bilgic, A. (2013) ‘Towards a new societal securi-ty dilemma: comprehensive analysis of actor responsibility in intersocietal con-flicts’, Review of International Studies, 39 (1), pp. 185–208, DOI:10.1017/S0260210512000095.
Butterfield, H. (1951) History and human rela-tions. London: Collins.
Kaufman, S. J. (1996) ‘An ‘international’ theory of inter-ethnic war’, Review of Interna-tional Studies, 22 (2), рp. 149–171, DOI: 10.1017/S0260210500118352.
Marijan, D. (2008) ‘Sudionici i osnovne značajke rata u Hrvatskoj 1990.–1991.’, Časopis za suvremenu povijest, 40 (1), рр. 47–63.
Melander, E. (2009) ‘The geography of fear: Re-gional ethnic diversity, the security di-lemma and ethnic war’, European Journal of International Relations, 15 (1), pp. 95–124, DOI: 10.1177/1354066108100054.
Očić, Č. (1996) Hronika Republike Srpske Krajine 1989–1991. Belgrade: Sava Mrkalj & Zora.
Posen, B. R. (1993) ‘The security dilemma and ethnic conflict’, Survival, 35 (1), pp. 27–47, DOI: 10.1080/00396339308442672.
Roe, P. (2000) ‘Former Yugoslavia: the security dilemma that never was?’, European Journal of International Relations, 6 (3), pp. 373–393, DOI: 10.1177/1354066100006003003.
Roe, P. (2004) ‘Which security dilemma? Miti-gating ethnic conflict: The case of Croa-tia’, Security Studies, 13 (4), pp. 280–313, DOI: 10.1080/09636410490945901.
Rose, W. (2000) ‘The security dilemma and eth-nic conflict: Some new hypotheses’, Se-curity Studies, 9 (4), pp. 1–51, DOI: 10.1080/09636410008429412.
Saideman, S.M. (1996) ‘The dual dynamics of disintegration: Ethnic politics and securi-ty dilemmas in Eastern Europe’, Nation-alism and Ethnic Politics, 2 (1), pp. 18–43, DOI: 10.1080/13537119608428457.
Tanner, M. (1997) Croatia. A Nation Forged in War. New Haven and London: Yale Uni-versity Press.
Visser, E., & Duyvesteyn, I. (2014) ‘The irrele-vance of the security dilemma for civil wars’, Civil Wars, 16 (1), pp. 65–85, DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2014.904986.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
The author grants the Publisher of the journal (Perm State University) the right to use their article in the journal, as well as to include the text of the abstract, the full text of the article and information about authors in the "Russian Science Citation Index" (RSCI).
The author agrees to the processing of personal data.
The right to use the journal as a whole belongs to the Publisher and acts indefinitely on the territory of the Russian Federation and beyond in accordance with cl. 1260 of the Russian Federation Civil Code.
There is no author's fee paid for providing the above rights by the author.
The author of the article included in the journal retains the exclusive right to it, regardless of the Publisher's right to use the journal as a whole:
a. The authors retain their copyrights to the article and transfer the right of the first publication along with the article to the journal, while also licensing it on the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which allows others to distribute this article with the obligatory indication of authorship of the article and reference to the original publication in this journal.
b. The authors retain the right to enter into separate, additional contractual agreements for the non-exclusive dissemination of the version of the text published by this journal (for example, post it in a university archive or publish it in a book), with reference to the original publication in this journal.
c. d. Authors are allowed to post their text on the Internet (for example, in a university archive or on their personal website) before and during the review process by this journal, as this can lead to a fruitful discussion and to higher number of the references to this published work (Please refer to The Effect of Open Access).
Submission of an article by the author implies that they agree for it to be used by the Publisher on the above conditions and to be included in the RSCI system. It also implicates that the author is aware of the terms of its use. The information about the author sent to the Publisher, including by e-mail, is also considered as such consent.
The editorial board posts the full text of the article on the Perm State University site: http://www.psu.ru and in the OJS system at http://press.psu.ru
The publication fee is not collected and fees are not paid. The author's copy is sent to the author to the address provided by them.
