Party Systems and Stability of Ethnofederalism

Authors

  • Мария Исобчук Maria Isobchuk Perm State University

Keywords:

ethnofederalism, party system, nationalization, fragmentation, volatility, consociationalism

Abstract

 Despite the fact that ethnofederalism is seen as a way to control interethnic conflicts in multiethnic states, ethnofederal arrangements do not always solve this problem successfully. In this article, we investigate how the effectiveness of ethnofederalism depends on such features of party systems as nationalization, fragmentation and volatility. Using ordinal regression analysis, empirical data of 59 electoral cycles in 20 countries with the ethnofederal governnce system have been analyzed. It has been found that a high degree of nationalization of a party system contributes to reducing the level of ethno-political conflicts, but only in case it is accompanied by a sufficiently high degree of volatility and fragmentation of party systems.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.17072/2218-1067-2017-1-98-107

Author Biography

Мария Исобчук Maria Isobchuk, Perm State University

Student, Faculty for history and political science

References

Голосов Г.В. Национализация партийной системы: проблемы измерения в применении к федеративным государствам // Сравнительная политология и российская политика. 2010–2015. СПб., 2016. [Golosov G.V. Nationalization of party system: problems of measurement with application to federal states. Golosov G.V. Comparative political science and Russian politics. 2010–2015. St. Petersburg, 2016].

Голосов Г.В., Григорьев В.С. Национализация партийной системы: российская специфика // Политическая наука. 2015. № 1. С. 128–156. [Golosov G.V. Grigoryev V.S. Party system nationalization: Russian specifics. Political Science. 2015. No. 1. P. 128–156].

Лейпхарт А. Демократия в многосоставных обществах. М., 2007. [Lijphart А. Democracy in Plural Societies: A Comparative Exploration. М., 2007].

Фарукшин М.Х. К методологии исследования роли этнического фактора в федеративных системах // Политическая экспертиза. 2011. № 2. С. 96–114. [Farukshin M.Kh. Towards Methodology of Comparative Study Ethnic Factor’s Role in the Federal Systems. Political Expertise: POLITEX. 2011. No. 2. P. 96–114.].

Харитонова О.В. Этнические войны и постконфликтная демократия // Политическая наука. 2016. №1. С.34–59. [Kharitonova O.V. Ethnic war and post conflict democracy. Political Science. 2016. No. 1. P. 34–59].

Akhtar N. Role of Political Parties in the Democratic System of Pakistan. Available at: https://gupea.ub.gu.se/bitstream/2077/33025/1/gupea_2077_33025_1.pdf .

Alesina A. et al. Fractionalization. Journal of Economic Growth. 2003. No. 2. P. 155–194.

Cederman L.E., Wimmer A. Ethnic Power Relations Dataset. Available at: https://icr.ethz.ch/data/epr/core/v1.1/.

Collier P., Hoeffler A. Greed and grievance in civil war. Oxford economic papers. 2004. No. 56. P. 563–595.

Conflict Barometer. Available at: http://www.hiik.de/en/konfliktbarometer/pdf/ConflictBarometer_2015.pdf

Constituency-Level Elections Archive (CLEA). Available at: http://www.electiondataarchive.org/index.html.

Elbadawi I., Sambanis A.N. How much war will we see? Explaining the prevalence of civil war. Journal of Conflict Resolution. 2002. No. 46. P. 307–334.

Fearon J., Laitin D. Ethnicity, insurgency, and civil war. American Political Science Review. 2003. No. 1. P. 75–90.

Freedom House Dataset. Available at: https://freedomhouse.org/.

Golosov G.V. The Effective Number of Parties. A New Approach. Party Politics. 2010. No. 2. P. 171–192.

Golosov G.V. Party nationalization and the translation of votes into seats under single-member plurality electoral system. Party Politics. 2016. No. 1.

Gurr T.R. Political rebellion. Causes, outcomes and alternatives. NY, Routledge, 2015.

Jones M.P. Mainwaring S. The nationalization of parties and party systems. An Empirical Measure and an Application to the Americas. Party Politics. 2003. No. 2. P. 139–166.

Ley No. 445 de 2002. Available at: http://legislacion.asamblea.gob.ni/normaweb.nsf/d0c69e2c91d9955906256a400077164a/f59730333b3f6fa5062571b200559533?OpenDocument.

Lipset S.M., Rokkan S. Party Systems and Voter Allignments: Cross-National Perspectives. NY, Free Press, 1967.

McGeary J., O’Leary B. Must Pluri-national Federations fail? Ethnopolitics. 2009. No. 1. P. 5–25.

Pedersen N.M. Electoral volatility in Western Europe, 1948–1977. Western European Party Systems: Continuity and Change. Ed. by Hans Daalder and Peter Mair. Beverly Hills, CA, Sage, 1983. Р. 29–66.

Roeder P.G. Ethnofederalism and the Mismanagement of Conflicting Nationalisms. Regional&Federal Studies. 2009. No. 1. P. 203–219.

Roper S.D. Regionalism in Moldova: The Case of Transnistria and Gagauzia. Regional&Federal Studies. 2001. No. 3. P. 101–122.

Snyder J. From Voting to Violence: Democratization and Nationalist Conflict. NY, Norton, 2000.

World Development Indicators. Available at: https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/topics/19286-world-development-indicators-wdi.

Published

2018-10-06

How to Cite

Maria Isobchuk М. И. (2018). Party Systems and Stability of Ethnofederalism. Bulletin of Perm University. Political Science, (1), 98–107. Retrieved from https://press.psu.ru/index.php/polit/article/view/1675