Время выбирать: манипулирование электоральными циклами в современных авторитарных режимах

Авторы

  • Маргарита Завадская/ Margarita Zavadskaja НИУ-ВШЭ - Санкт-Петербург Центр сравнительных исторических и политических исследований при Пермский государственный национальный исследовательский университет

Ключевые слова:

электоральный цикл, выборы, типы авторитарных режимов, проблема эндогенности

Аннотация

В статье рассматривается вопрос специфики электоральных циклов в современных авторитарных режимах в зависимости от типа институционального дизайна (персоналистские, военные, однопартийные). Цель статьи - обращение к проблеме эндогенности времени выборов в различных авторитарных режимах, тестирование эффектов времени выборов на частоту конфликтных инцидентов как в отношении граждан (угроза снизу), так и элит (угроза сверху), выражающихся в частоте антиправительственных протестных акций и репрессий со стороны государства. Опираясь на посылку об информационной асимметрии, также известную как «дилемма диктатора», в статье мы представили количественный анализ 64 электоральных авторитарных режимов с 1990 по 2011 гг.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.17072/2218-1067-2015-4-5-28

Биография автора

Маргарита Завадская/ Margarita Zavadskaja, НИУ-ВШЭ - Санкт-Петербург Центр сравнительных исторических и политических исследований при Пермский государственный национальный исследовательский университет

Старший преподаватель департамента прикладной политологииНаучный сотрудник

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Загрузки

Опубликован

2018-11-15

Как цитировать

Margarita Zavadskaja М. З. (2018). Время выбирать: манипулирование электоральными циклами в современных авторитарных режимах. Вестник Пермского университета. Политология / Bulletin of Perm University. Political Science, (4), 5–28. извлечено от http://press.psu.ru/index.php/polit/article/view/1924